Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.034137 4.518441 5.044863 5.660698 6.362796 7.139938 8.067534
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.370927 4.019991 4.777122 5.729893 6.902902 8.307568 10.128568
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.935483 3.666488 4.565141 5.760007 7.320259 9.306541 12.055539
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.558473 3.313857 4.281780 5.626636 7.468334 9.933320 13.535108
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.305970 3.081133 4.110430 5.596239 7.717632 10.685735 15.238867
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.094055 2.874646 3.943900 5.540171 7.905273 11.348522 16.868512
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.003204 2.822667 3.979539 5.764305 8.506938 12.660629 19.620707
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.861507 2.682435 3.871874 5.759942 8.755303 13.452324 21.638677
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.728174 2.541402 3.747852 5.713546 8.925018 14.126151 23.531304
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.545660 2.311009 3.468605 5.395650 8.621493 13.988363 23.998207
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.462984 2.227317 3.408094 5.420696 8.881573 14.814371 26.270182
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.420212 2.202249 3.436663 5.592152 9.402751 16.140751 29.631270
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.351501 2.132446 3.390599 5.638824 9.720434 17.157252 32.582060
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.286212 2.063421 3.340324 5.673338 10.019359 18.172737 35.680864
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.224884 1.996214 3.287274 5.696765 10.297618 19.176246 38.896985
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.142927 1.887977 3.155174 5.563905 10.263111 19.557870 40.825656
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.084833 1.816847 3.082398 5.533681 10.422872 20.343582 43.758455
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.027752 1.743607 3.000387 5.478282 10.525301 21.018630 46.533054
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.014881 1.748226 3.059353 5.699576 11.213757 23.018890 52.776504
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.971595 1.694638 3.006756 5.695267 11.427869 24.002868 56.672677
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.926052 1.633998 2.936659 5.649458 11.547416 24.785416 60.177680
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.850288 1.512579 2.743205 5.335572 11.050007 24.087553 59.667292
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.820790 1.476988 2.713269 5.360303 11.311031 25.208905 64.273658